Demagogues of Hate or Shepherds of Peace? Why 'Warlord Democrats' (Re)securitize Wartime Identities

Project leader

Anders Themnér, Assistant Professor

Project period

2015-2017

Project description

Democratization has been identified as a crucial mechanism when building peace after war. A by-product of such processes is that ex-military leaders often ‘reinvent’ themselves as democrats. Even if it may be necessary to embrace such ‘warlord democrats’ (WDs) to prevent them from returning to war, there are also considerable risks involved. In their quest for votes it is not uncommon that they use their electoral platforms to incite fear and cement wartime cleavages. They can either do this by using inflammatory rhetoric or engaging in confrontational electoral behavior. At worst, such actions can undermine democratic institutions and trigger new outbursts of violence. To improve efforts to build stable and accountable democracy in post-civil war societies, it is therefore crucial to understand when and why WDs seek to (re)securitize wartime identities – held as speech acts and electoral practices that aim to keep war-affected communities polarized and in fear of each other. This project seeks to address this puzzle by comparing six WDs in Nigeria and South Sudan. We hypothesize that it is WDs that are unable to retain their position as brokers of patronage during transitions to democracy that attempt to (re)securitize wartime identities. To scrutinize the explanatory value of this proposition, empirical data will be gathered using social network analysis and interviews in each respective country, as well as textual analysis of statements made by the WDs in local newspapers.

Publications

Themnér, Anders (ed.) (forthcoming), Warlord Democrats in Africa: The Security Effects of Integrating Ex-Military Leaders into Electoral Politics, London: Zed Publishing.

Brosché, Johan, and Kristine Höglund. 2016. "Crisis of Governance in South Sudan: Electoral Politics in the World’s Newest Nation." Journal of Modern African Studies 54 (1):67-90.

Brosché, Johan (2016), ”Humanitarian Catastrophe in South Sudan” Human Security 2016-03-29. http://manskligsakerhet.se/2016/03/29/humanitar-katastrof-i-sydsudan/

Brosché, Johan & Kristine Högbladh (forthcoming 2017), “ Riek Machar: Warlord-Doctor in South Sudan”, in Anders Themnér (ed.), Warlord Democrats in Africa: The Security Effects of Integrating Ex-Military Leaders into Electoral Politics. London: Zed Publishing.

Themnér, Anders (forthcoming 2017), "Warlord Democrats in Africa: Wartime Investments, Democratic Returns", in Anders Themnér (ed.), Warlord Democrats in Africa: The Security Effects of Integrating Ex-Military Leaders into Electoral Politics. London: Zed Publishing.

Themnér, Anders (forthcoming 2017), "Ambiguous Peacelords", in Anders Themnér (ed.), Warlord Democrats in Africa: The Security Effects of Integrating Ex-Military Leaders into Electoral Politics. London: Zed Publishing.

Main financial support

Stiftelsen Marcus och Amalia Wallenbergs Minnesfond