Department of Peace and Conflict Research

References

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  • Blei, D. M. 2014. “Build, Compute, Critique, Repeat: Data Analysis with Latent Variable Models.” Annual Review of Statistics and Its Applications 1(1):203–32.
  • Bosler, N. & G. Schneider. 2011. “The Oracle or the Crowd?  Experts versus the Stock Market in Forecasting Ceasefire Success in the Levant.” Paper presented at the ECPR Joint Sessions of Workshops, St. Gallen, Switzerland, April.
  • Brancati, D. & J.L. Snyder. 2013. “Time to kill: The impact of election timing on postconflict stability.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 57(5):822–853.
  • Buhaug, H. & J. K. Rød. 2006. “Local Determinants of African Civil Wars, 1970–2001.”  Political Geography 25(3):315–335.
  • Cederman, L.-E., K. S. Gleditsch, I. Salehyan & J. Wucherpfennig. 2013a. “Transborder Ethnic Kin and Civil War.” International Organization 67(2):389–410.
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  • Chadefaux, T. 2014. “Early warning signals for war in the news.” Journal of Peace Research 51(1):5–18.
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  • Davenport, C.; W. H. Moore & S. Poe. 2003. “Sometimes You Just Have to Leave: Domestic Threats and Forced Migration, 1964–1989.” International Interactions 29:27–55.
  • Daxecker, U. E. 2012. “The cost of exposing cheating: Inter­national election monitoring, fraud, and post-election violence in Africa.” Journal of Peace Research 49(4):503–516.
  • Doyle, M. W. & N. Sambanis. 2006. Making War & Building Peace: United Nations Peace Operations. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
  • Eck, K. & L. Hultman. 2007. “One-Sided Violence against Civilians in War: Insights from New Fatality Data.” Journal of Peace Research 44(2):233–246.
  • Fjelde, H. & D. Nilsson. 2012. “Rebels Against Rebels: Explaining Violence Between Rebel Groups.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 56(4):604–628.
  • Flores, T. E. & I. Nooruddin. 2012. “The Effect of Elections on Postconflict Peace and Reconstruction.” Journal of Politics 74(2):558–570.
  • Gates, S., H. Hegre, M. P. Jones & H. Strand. 2006. “Institu­tional Inconsistency and Political Instability: Polity Duration, 1800–2000.” American Journal of Political Science 50(4):893–908.
  • Gill, J. 1999. “The Insignificance of Null Hypothesis Significance Testing.”  Political Reseach Qarterly 52(3):647–674.
  • Hafner-Burton, E. M., S. D. Hyde & R.S. Jablonski. 2014. “When Do Governments Resort to Election Violence? ” British Journal of Political Science 44(1):149–179.
  • Hegre, H., T. Ellingsen, S. Gates & N. P. Gleditsch. 2001. “Toward a Democratic Civil Peace?  Democracy, Political Change, and Civil War, 1816–1992.” American Political Science Review 95(1):33–48.
  • Hegre, H., J. Karlsen, H. M. Nygård, H. Strand & H. Urdal. 2013. “Predicting Armed Conflict 2010–2050.” International Studies Quarterly 55(2):250–270.
  • Hegre, H., L. Hultman & H. Mokleiv Nygård. 2015. “Evaluating the conflict-reducing effect of UN peace-keeping operations.” Paper presented to the Annual Bank Conference on Africa, June 8–9,  Berkeley, California.
  • Hegre, H. & N. Sambanis. 2006. “Sensitivity Analysis of Empirical Results on Civil War Onset.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 50(4):508–535.
  • Hultman, L., J. Kathman & M. Shannon. 2013. “United Nations Peacekeeping and Civilian Protection in Civil War.” American Journal of Political Science 57(4):875–891.
  • Hultman, L., J. Kathman & M. Shannon. 2014. “Beyond Keeping Peace: United Nations Effectiveness in the Midst of Fighting.” American Political Science Review 108(4):737–753.
  • Kreutz, J. 2010. “How and When Armed Conflicts End: Introducing the UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset.” Journal of Peace Research 47(2):243–250.
  • Montgomery, J. M., F. M. Hollenbach & M. D. Ward, 2012. “Improving predictions using ensemble Bayesian model averaging.” Political Analysis 20(3): 271–291.
  • Moore, W. H & S. M. Shellman. 2004. “Fear of Persecution – Forced Migration, 1952–1995.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 40(5):723 – 745.
  • Moore, W. & S. Shellman. 2007. “Whither Will They Go?  A Global Study of Refugee Destinations, 1965–1995.” International Studies Quarterly 51(4):811–834.
  • Nilsson, D. 2008. “Partial Peace: Rebel Groups Inside and Outside of Civil War Settlements.” Journal of Peace Research 45(4):479–495.
  • Raftery, A. E., T. Gneiting, F. Balabdaoui & M. Polakowski. 2005. “Using Bayesian Model Averaging to Calibrate Forecast Ensembles.” American Meteorological Society 133(1):1155–1173.
  • Raleigh, C. & H. Hegre. 2009. “Population, Size, and Civil War. A Geographically Disaggregated Analysis.” Political Geography 28(4):224–238.
  • Salehyan, I. & K. S. Gleditsch. 2006. “Refugees and the Spread of Civil War.” International Organization 60(2):335–366.
  • Schrodt, P. A. 2014. “Seven Deadly Sins of Contemporary Quantitative Political Analysis.” Journal of Peace Research 51(2):287–300.
  • Sundberg, R. & E. Melander. 2013. “Introducing the UCDP Georeferenced Event Dataset.” Journal of Peace Research 50(4):523–532.
  • Tollefsen, A. F, H. Strand & H. Buhaug. 2012. “PRIO-GRID: A unified spatial data structure.” Journal of Peace Research 49(2):363–374.
  • Walter, B. 2004. “Does Conflict Beget Conflict|?” Journal of Peace Research 41(3):371–388.
  • Ward, M. D., B. D. Greenhill & K. M. Bakke. 2010. “The perils of policy by p-value: Predicting civil conflicts.”  Journal of Peace Research 47(4):363–375.
  • Weidmann, N. B. 2014. “On the Accuracy of Media-based Conflict Event Data.” Journal of Conflict Resolution Online.
  • Wood, R. & J. Kathman. 2015. “Competing for the Crown: Inter-rebel Competition and Civilian Targeting in Civil War.” Political Research Quarterly, forthcoming